1. Probability is not certainty
Displayed probabilities can be wrong and may move materially as new information appears. Historical movement does not predict a future result.
2. Data limitations
Data may be delayed, incomplete, unavailable, or affected by errors in upstream systems. Market liquidity can also affect how informative a price is.
3. Resolution risk
Ambiguous wording, disputed facts, source availability, and third-party rules can affect how a market is resolved.
4. Independent decisions
Do not rely on Foretell as the sole basis for a financial or legal decision. Review the underlying rules, sources, and your own circumstances.